Learn how understanding the bond yield curve's signals can inform economic forecasts and enhance your investment decisions for better returns.

In last week's commentary we spoke about the big bounce of the S&P 500 (SPY) that got us back in the mix of all the key trend lines (50/100/200 day moving averages). And likely we would be stuck in a ...

The yield curve inverted in June 2022, and as we all know, the recession never came. When it flipped positive in 2024, ...

The U.S. Treasury yield curve, one of the most reliable signals of recession, is flashing red again. As of March 2025, the spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields remains inverted, a ...

Analysts and investors began to brace for a souring economic environment as the 10-year Treasury yield fell below that of a 3-month note in late February—an inverted yield curve, typically seen as a ...

I still remember back in 2006, when the curve inverted ahead of the financial crisis. Hardly anyone outside of bankers, economists, hardcore investors and bond traders knew what it meant. But by 2008, ...

15:51 ET - Investors rush back to bonds after Friday’s selloff, widening the 2 year-10 year curve inversion often associated with a recession forecast. The two-year yield declines 0.034 percentage ...

The 10-year yield is often used as a stand-in for mortgage rates and also shows how investors feel about the economy’s future. A higher yield usually means investors want more return because they’re ...