If you look under the hood … more than 50% of consumer spending has come from the top 10% of earners. That is where the resiliency is coming from. If you look at the bottom 90%, you see middle-class ...

The U.S. economy managed to navigate a volatile 2025 without collapsing, but the cumulative effects of ongoing trade tensions and persistent inflation keep concerns about a 2026 recession on ...

Concerns over the impact of tariffs have prompted investors and consumers to lower their expectations for the U.S. economy.

Goldman Sachs on Thursday trimmed its U.S. recession probability to 30% from 35% for the next twelve months on easing uncertainty around President Donald Trump's tariff policies after the U.S. and ...

A recession has been in the forecast for much of 2023. Yet an economic downturn — formally defined as two consecutive quarters of declining GDP growth — has yet to happen. "A recession is obviously ...

The Bay Area's tremendous six-year economic boom is winding down and the region will almost certainly slip into a recession within the next 12 months, according to a widely watched forecast issued ...

As Hawaii edges into what economists describe as a mild recession, social service providers say growing economic uncertainty is already being felt by families struggling to afford housing, food and ...

Economic forecasts tend to be unreliable. The news is fast paced, and predictions can quickly grow stale. But there’s still something to be gained.

US economic resilience over the last 15 years has been a tailwind for investors — but after a forecast-defying stretch of growth, it's also creating a big blind spot in the market. The economy's ...

California is halfway through a recession that should begin to clear by next spring, although the recovery will be slow and the tech-heavy Bay Area will bear the brunt of the economic downturn, ...

There are no signs of a recession in Arkansas on the horizon, despite projected slowing growth and the uncertain effects of tariffs. The three economists were hampered in their analyses because they ...