The Treasury yield curve aids in predicting economic trends and interest rates. Gain insights into its impact on investment strategies.

Since the Fed’s rate cut at the end of October, the entire yield curve from the 3-month Treasury yield to the 30-year Treasury yield has risen. Mortgage rates have risen too. The Fed has cut by 150 ...

Off-the-run treasuries include all Treasury securities except the latest issues. Discover how they work, where to trade them, and their market significance.

Shorter-term US Treasury yields have fallen, while yields on longer-dated bonds could remain elevated, thanks to the threat of higher inflation and investor concerns surrounding the federal deficit.

As explained in Prof. Robert Jarrow’s book cited below, forward rates contain a risk premium above and beyond the market’s expectations for the 3-month forward rate. We document the size of that risk ...

Q2 2026 Management View CEO Allan Marshall addressed the quarter’s turbulent environment, highlighting two key challenges: declining asset prices and multiple compression in the treasury sector.