According to NASA’s Center for Near-Earth Object Studies (CNEOS), the asteroid known as 2024 YR currently has a 2.3% chance—or roughly a 1 in 43 likelihood—of striking Earth in 2032. Just a week earlier, the European Space Agency (ESA) had estimated a 1.3% chance of impact on December 22 of that year, the date the asteroid is expected to make its closest approach. In other words, there’s still an overwhelming 99% probability it will safely pass by. Measuring up to 300 feet (about 90 meters) wide

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NASA’s ‘Eyes on Asteroids’ Reveals Our Near-Earth Object Neighborhood